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1.
Trop Med Int Health ; 14(2): 220-7, 2009 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19236668

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To describe the Aedes aegypti container profile in the three parishes of Portland, St. Anns and St. Catherine, Jamaica. METHOD: Traditional stegomyia and pupae per person indices. RESULTS: A total of 8855 containers were inspected. A. aegypti were breeding in 19.2% of the 4728 containers in Portland, in 6.7% of the 2639 containers in St. Ann, and in 27.2% of the 1488 containers in Tryhall Heights, St. Catherine. Container types differed between Portland (P > 0.02) on one hand and St. Ann and Tryhall Heights, St. Catherine on the other hand: there were with no vases or potted plants with water saucers in St. Ann and St. Catherine. A. aegypti were breeding in more containers in St. Catherine (38%) (38% in wet season and 21% in the dry season) than in Portland (19%) or St. Ann (6%), both of which had more containers but A. aegypti breeding in fewer: 17.7% and 11.2% in the wet and 20.4% and 3.5% in the dry seasons respectively. The daily production of adult mosquitoes in the three study sites was 1.51, 1.29 and 0.66 adult female mosquitoes per person in Portland, St. Ann and St. Catherine during the dry season and 1.12, 0.23 and 1.04 female mosquitoes per person in the wet season respectively. CONCLUSION: All three communities are at risk for dengue outbreaks and vector control should concentrate on reducing the mosquito populations from the most productive containers before a new dengue virus serotype is introduced into Jamaica.


Assuntos
Aedes/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Dengue/prevenção & controle , Insetos Vetores/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Animais , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Jamaica , Densidade Demográfica , Pupa/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Estações do Ano
2.
Tropical medicine and international health ; 14(2): 220-227, Feb. 2009. mapas, tab
Artigo em Inglês | MedCarib | ID: med-17596

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To describe the Aedes aegypti container profile in the three parishes of Portland, St. Anns and St. Catherine, Jamaica.METHOD: Traditional stegomyia and pupae per person indices.RESULTS: A total of 8855 containers were inspected. A. aegypti were breeding in 19.2% of the 4728 containers in Portland, in 6.7% of the 2639 containers in St. Ann, and in 27.2% of the 1488 containers in Tryhall Heights, St. Catherine. Container types differed between Portland (P > 0.02) on one hand and St. Ann and Tryhall Heights, St. Catherine on the other hand: there were with no vases or potted plants with water saucers in St. Ann and St. Catherine. A. aegypti were breeding in more containers in St. Catherine (38%) (38% in wet season and 21% in the dry season) than in Portland (19%) or St. Ann (6%), both of which had more containers but A. aegypti breeding in fewer: 17.7% and 11.2% in the wet and 20.4% and 3.5% in the dry seasons respectively. The daily production of adult mosquitoes in the three study sites was 1.51, 1.29 and 0.66 adult female mosquitoes per person in Portland, St. Ann and St. Catherine during the dry season and 1.12, 0.23 and 1.04 female mosquitoes per person in the wet season respectively.CONCLUSION: All three communities are at risk for dengue outbreaks and vector control should concentrate on reducing the mosquito populations from the most productive containers before a new dengue virus serotype is introduced into Jamaica.


Assuntos
Animais , Humanos , Aedes , Dengue , Cruzamento , Jamaica , Controle de Vetores de Doenças
4.
Ann Trop Med Parasitol ; 100 Suppl 1: S5-S16, 2006 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16630387

RESUMO

A method has been developed for estimating the sample sizes needed to identify categories that comprise a large proportion of a compositional data-set. The method is to be used in the design of surveys of mosquito pupae, for identifying the key container types from which the majority of adult dengue vectors emerge. Although a finite-population correction was devised for estimating the mean of a negative binomial distribution, other complications of parametric approaches make them unlikely to yield methods simple enough to be practically applicable. The Shannon-Wiener index was therefore investigated as a more useful alternative, at the cost of theoretical generalizability, in an approach based on re-sampling methods in conjunction with the use of entropy. This index can be used to summarize the degree to which pupae are either concentrated in a few container types, or dispersed among many. An empirical relationship between the index and the repeatability of surveys of differing sample sizes was observed. A step-wise rule, based on the entropy of the cumulative data, was devised for determining the sample size, in terms of the number of houses positive for pupae, at which a pupal survey might reasonably be stopped.


Assuntos
Aedes , Dengue , Insetos Vetores , Algoritmos , Animais , Dengue/transmissão , Entropia , Utensílios Domésticos , Humanos , Vigilância da População/métodos , Pupa , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Tamanho da Amostra , Abastecimento de Água
5.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 62(1): 11-8, 2000 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10761719

RESUMO

The expense and ineffectiveness of drift-based insecticide aerosols to control dengue epidemics has led to suppression strategies based on eliminating larval breeding sites. With the notable but short-lived exceptions of Cuba and Singapore, these source reduction efforts have met with little documented success; failure has chiefly been attributed to inadequate participation of the communities involved. The present work attempts to estimate transmission thresholds for dengue based on an easily-derived statistic, the standing crop of Aedes aegypti pupae per person in the environment. We have developed these thresholds for use in the assessment of risk of transmission and to provide targets for the actual degree of suppression required to prevent or eliminate transmission in source reduction programs. The notion of thresholds is based on 2 concepts: the mass action principal-the course of an epidemic is dependent on the rate of contact between susceptible hosts and infectious vectors, and threshold theory-the introduction of a few infectious individuals into a community of susceptible individuals will not give rise to an outbreak unless the density of vectors exceeds a certain critical level. We use validated transmission models to estimate thresholds as a function of levels of pre-existing antibody levels in human populations, ambient air temperatures, and size and frequency of viral introduction. Threshold levels were estimated to range between about 0.5 and 1.5 Ae. aegypti pupae per person for ambient air temperatures of 28 degrees C and initial seroprevalences ranging between 0% to 67%. Surprisingly, the size of the viral introduction used in these studies, ranging between 1 and 12 infectious individuals per year, was not seen to significantly influence the magnitude of the threshold. From a control perspective, these results are not particularly encouraging. The ratio of Ae. aegypti pupae to human density has been observed in limited field studies to range between 0.3 and >60 in 25 sites in dengue-endemic or dengue-susceptible areas in the Caribbean, Central America, and Southeast Asia. If, for purposes of illustration, we assume an initial seroprevalence of 33%, the degree of suppression required to essentially eliminate the possibility of summertime transmission in Puerto Rico, Honduras, and Bangkok, Thailand was estimated to range between 10% and 83%; however in Mexico and Trinidad, reductions of >90% would be required. A clearer picture of the actual magnitude of the reductions required to eliminate the threat of transmission is provided by the ratio of the observed standing crop of Ae. aegypti pupae per person and the threshold. For example, in a site in Mayaguez, Puerto Rico, the ratio of observed and threshold was 1.7, meaning roughly that about 7 of every 17 breeding containers would have to be eliminated. For Reynosa, Mexico, with a ratio of approximately 10, 9 of every 10 containers would have to be eliminated. For sites in Trinidad with ratios averaging approximately 25, the elimination of 24 of every 25 would be required. With the exceptions of Cuba and Singapore, no published reports of sustained source reduction efforts have achieved anything near these levels of reductions in breeding containers. Practical advice on the use of thresholds is provided for operational control projects.


Assuntos
Aedes/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Simulação por Computador , Dengue/transmissão , Insetos Vetores/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Modelos Biológicos , Animais , Anticorpos Antivirais/sangue , Dengue/epidemiologia , Dengue/prevenção & controle , Vírus da Dengue/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Feminino , Honduras/epidemiologia , Humanos , Mordeduras e Picadas de Insetos/epidemiologia , Mordeduras e Picadas de Insetos/virologia , México/epidemiologia , Porto Rico/epidemiologia , Pupa/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Medição de Risco , Processos Estocásticos , Temperatura , Tailândia/epidemiologia , Trinidad e Tobago/epidemiologia
6.
The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene ; 62(1): 11-18, Jan. 2000. tab, graf
Artigo em Inglês | MedCarib | ID: med-17779

RESUMO

The expense and ineffectiveness of drift-based insecticide aerosols to control dengue epidemics has led to suppression strategies based on eliminating larval breeding sites. With the notable but short-lived exceptions of Cuba and Singapore, these source reduction efforts have met with little documented success; failure has chiefly been attributed to inadequate participation of the communities involved. The present work attempts to estimate transmission thresholds for dengue based on an easily-derived statistic, the standing crop of Aedes aegypti pupae per person in the environment. We have developed these thresholds for use in the assessment of risk of transmission and to provide targets for the actual degree of suppression required to prevent or eliminate transmission in source reduction programs. The notion of thresholds is based on 2 concepts: the mass action principal-the course of an epidemic is dependent on the rate of contact between susceptible hosts and infectious vectors, and threshold theory-the introduction of a few infectious individuals into a community of susceptible individuals will not give rise to an outbreak unless the density of vectors exceeds a certain critical level. We use validated transmission models to estimate thresholds as a function of levels of pre-existing antibody levels in human populations, ambient air temperatures, and size and frequency of viral introduction. Threshold levels were estimated to range between about 0.5 and 1.5 Ae. aegypti pupae per person for ambient air temperatures of 28 degrees C and initial seroprevalences ranging between 0% to 67%. Surprisingly, the size of the viral introduction used in these studies, ranging between 1 and 12 infectious individuals per year, was not seen to significantly influence the magnitude of the threshold. From a control perspective, these results are not particularly encouraging. The ratio of Ae. aegypti pupae to human density has been observed in limited field studies to range between 0.3 and >60 in 25 sites in dengue-endemic or dengue-susceptible areas in the Caribbean, Central America, and Southeast Asia. If, for purposes of illustration, we assume an initial seroprevalence of 33%, the degree of suppression required to essentially eliminate the possibility of summertime transmission in Puerto Rico, Honduras, and Bangkok, Thailand was estimated to range between 10% and 83%; however in Mexico and Trinidad, reductions of >90% would be required. A clearer picture of the actual magnitude of the reductions required to eliminate the threat of transmission is provided by the ratio of the observed standing crop of Ae. aegypti pupae per person and the threshold. For example, in a site in Mayaguez, Puerto Rico, the ratio of observed and threshold was 1.7, meaning roughly that about 7 of every 17 breeding containers would have to be eliminated. For Reynosa, Mexico, with a ratio of approximately 10, 9 of every 10 containers would have to be eliminated. For sites in Trinidad with ratios averaging approximately 25, the elimination of 24 of every 25 would be required. With the exceptions of Cuba and Singapore, no published reports of sustained source reduction efforts have achieved anything near these levels of reductions in breeding containers. Practical advice on the use of thresholds is provided for operational control projects.


Assuntos
Animais , Humanos , Feminino , Aedes/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Anticorpos Antivirais/sangue , Simulação por Computador , Dengue/epidemiologia , Dengue/prevenção & controle , Dengue/transmissão , Vírus da Dengue/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Mordeduras e Picadas de Insetos/epidemiologia , Mordeduras e Picadas de Insetos/virologia , Insetos Vetores/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Pupa/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Modelos Biológicos , Medição de Risco , Processos Estocásticos , Temperatura , Trinidad e Tobago/epidemiologia , Tailândia/epidemiologia , México/epidemiologia , Porto Rico/epidemiologia , Honduras/epidemiologia
7.
J Med Entomol ; 35(5): 646-52, 1998 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9775586

RESUMO

Two new approaches have been developed to estimate water temperatures and water depths in containers that commonly are used as breeding sites for mosquitoes, the primary vectors of dengue viruses. These estimates are incorporated in recently developed stochastic simulation models used to describe the daily dynamics of dengue virus transmission in the urban environment. Water temperature estimates are provided through a regression model that includes meteorological variables not previously used; results show that they are significantly better than those used in previous dengue transmission models. Water depth models use a climatic water budget approach which estimates moisture storage within containers. The water depth models are less precise than those developed for water temperature; however, results are superior to those used in previous models. These new approaches should improve estimates of the impact of water conditions on dengue vectors.


Assuntos
Aedes , Clima , Culicidae , Dengue/transmissão , Aedes/virologia , Animais , Água Doce , Humanos , Análise de Regressão , Processos Estocásticos , Temperatura
8.
Environ Health Perspect ; 106(3): 147-53, 1998 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9452414

RESUMO

Climate factors influence the transmission of dengue fever, the world's most widespread vector-borne virus. We examined the potential added risk posed by global climate change on dengue transmission using computer-based simulation analysis to link temperature output from three climate general circulation models (GCMs) to a dengue vectorial capacity equation. Our outcome measure, epidemic potential, is the reciprocal of the critical mosquito density threshold of the vectorial capacity equation. An increase in epidemic potential indicates that a smaller number of mosquitoes can maintain a state of endemicity of disease where dengue virus is introduced. Baseline climate data for comparison are from 1931 to 1980. Among the three GCMs, the average projected temperature elevation was 1.16 degrees C, expected by the year 2050. All three GCMs projected a temperature-related increase in potential seasonal transmission in five selected cities, as well as an increase in global epidemic potential, with the largest area change occurring in temperate regions. For regions already at risk, the aggregate epidemic potential across the three scenarios rose on average between 31 and 47% (range, 24-74%). If climate change occurs, as many climatologists believe, this will increase the epidemic potential of dengue-carrying mosquitoes, given viral introduction and susceptible human populations. Our risk assessment suggests that increased incidence may first occur in regions bordering endemic zones in latitude or altitude. Endemic locations may be at higher risk from hemorrhagic dengue if transmission intensity increases.


Assuntos
Clima , Dengue/epidemiologia , Dengue/transmissão , Aedes , Animais , Dengue/virologia , Surtos de Doenças , Flavivirus , Humanos , Insetos Vetores , México , Modelos Teóricos , Medição de Risco , Estações do Ano
9.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 57(3): 285-97, 1997 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9311638

RESUMO

The purpose of the present paper is to document an initial attempt to quantify the influence of warming temperatures on the intensity and distribution of dengue transmission throughout the world using an expression of vectorial capacity modified to reflect the role of temperature on development and survival of the vector and virus. We rearranged the traditional vectorial capacity expression (the mean number of potentially infective contacts made by a mosquito population per infectious person per unit time) to develop an equation for the critical density threshold, an estimate of the number of adult female vectors required to just maintain the virus in a susceptible human population. In this expression, temperature influences adult survival, the lengths of the gonotrophic cycle and the extrinsic incubation period of the virus in the vector, and vector size, a factor that indirectly influences the biting rate. Before making projections for warming scenarios of current climate plus 2 or 4 degrees C, we validate our technique by successfully comparing model projections and the observed spatial, temporal, and altitudinal distribution of dengue using current climate in five cities that are endemic or have had epidemics in the past. Our results indicate that the current warming projection of the International Council of Scientific Unions and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change of 2 degrees C by the end of the next century can be expected to result in a potential increase in the latitudinal and altitudinal range of dengue; the potential duration of the transmission season will also increase in temperate locations as well. We discuss how an increase in temperature-related transmission intensity can be expected to lower the average ages of primary and secondary infections and thereby significantly increase the proportion of secondary infections occurring among infants and adolescents, the ages especially susceptible to dengue hemorrhagic fever and shock syndrome.


Assuntos
Dengue/transmissão , Efeito Estufa , Modelos Biológicos , Aedes , Distribuição por Idade , Altitude , Animais , Dengue/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Insetos Vetores , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos
10.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 56(2): 159-67, 1997 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9080874

RESUMO

This report documents the results of a country-wide pupal survey of Aedes aegypti (L.) conducted in Trinidad. The survey was designed to identify the important Ae. aegypti-producing containers, importance being a function of a container's abundance and its productivity. Results are summarized on a country-wide basis and by county: urban versus rural comparisons are also made. Numerically, the most common water-filled containers positive for the larvae or pupae of Ae. aegypti (foci) were outdoor drums, water storage tanks and buckets, laundry tubs, discarded tires, and small miscellaneous containers such as drink bottles and cans. The island-wide average number of foci per hectare was 287 and ranged between 65 and 499. The average standing crop per container of Ae. aegypti pupae was 9.5 and ranged 12-fold, the most and least productive being the flower pot (> 30) and the small indoor vase (< 3), respectively. In terms of production by type of container, four of the 11 types, outdoor drums, tubs, buckets, and small containers, accounted for > 90% of all Ae. aegypti pupae: the remaining seven types were responsible for < 10%. If targeted source reduction programs were directed by how important various container types were in the production of Ae. aegypti, environmental sanitation efforts designed to actually eliminate the ubiquitous small receptacle and tires would reduce mosquito densities by 43%; the provision of an adequate water supply system precluding the need for water storage in drums and buckets would have the potential to eliminate an additional 38%. Combined, these two measures have the potential to reduce the sources responsible for > 80% of Ae. aegypti production in the country. In our survey, the traditional Stegomyia indices used to document the density of Ae. aegypti and predict the threat of dengue transmission, the House, Container, and Breteau indices, were seen to have virtually no correspondence with the actual number of pupae per hectare or per person. We conclude that pupal survey is more appropriate for assessing risk and directing control operations.


Assuntos
Aedes/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Dengue/prevenção & controle , Insetos Vetores/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Animais , Dengue/transmissão , Habitação , Humanos , Densidade Demográfica , Pupa , Saúde da População Rural , Trinidad e Tobago , Saúde da População Urbana , Abastecimento de Água/normas
11.
s.l; [The American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene]; 1997. 166-7 p. ilus., 2
Monografia em Inglês | MedCarib | ID: med-16289

RESUMO

This report documents the results of a country-wide pupal survey of Aedes aegypti (L.) conducted in Trinidad. The survey was designed to identify the important Ae. aegypti-producing containers, importance being a function of a container's abundance and its productivity. Results are summarized on a country-wide basis and by country: urban versus rural comparisons are also made. Numerically, the most common water-filled containers positive for the larvae or pupae of Ae. aegypti (foci) were outdoor drums, water storage tanks and buckets, laundry tubs, discarded tires, and small miscellanous containers such as drink bottles and cans. The island-wide average number of foci per hectare was 287 and ranged between 65 and 499. The average standing crop per container of Ae. aegypti pupae was 9.5 and ranged 12-fold, the most and least productive being the flower pot (>30) and the small indoor vase (<3), respectively. In terms of production by type of container, four of the 11 types, outdoor drums, tubs, buckets, and small containers, accounted for > 90 percent of all Ae. aegypti pupae: the remaining seven types were responsible for <10 percent. If targeted source reduction programs were directed by how important various containers were in the production of Ae. aegypti, environmental sanitation efforts designed to actually eliminate the ubiquitous small receptacle and tires would reduce mosquito densities by 43 percent; the provision of an adequate water supply system precluding the need for water storage in drums and buckets would have the potential to eliminate an additional 38 percent. Combined, these two measures have the potential to reduce the sources responsible for >80 percent of Ae. aegypti production in the country. In our survey, the traditional Stegomyia indices used to document the density of Ae. aegypti and predict the threat of dengue transmission, the House, Container, and Breteau indices, were seen to have virtually no correspondence with the actual number of pupae per hectare or per person. We conclude that pupal survey is more appropriate for assessing risk and directing control operations (AU)


Assuntos
Humanos , Controle de Mosquitos , Trinidad e Tobago , Aedes/parasitologia , Trinidad e Tobago , Coleta de Dados/métodos , Região do Caribe
12.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 53(5): 489-506, 1995 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-7485707

RESUMO

We have developed a pair of stochastic simulation models that describe the daily dynamics of dengue virus transmission in the urban environment. Our goal has been to construct comprehensive models that take into account the majority of factors known to influence dengue epidemiology. The models have an orientation toward site-specific data and are designed to be used by operational programs as well as researchers. The first model, the container-inhabiting mosquito simulation model (CIMSiM), a weather-driven dynamic life-table model of container-inhabiting mosquitoes such as Aedes aegypti, provides inputs to the tranmission model, the dengue simulation model (DENSiM); a description and validation of the entomology model was published previously. The basis of the transmission model is the simulation of a human population growing in response to country- and age-specific birth and death rates. An accounting of individual serologies is maintained by type of dengue virus, reflecting infection and birth to seropositive mothers. Daily estimates of adult mosquito survival, gonotrophic development, and the weight and number of emerging females from the CIMSiM are used to create the biting mosquito population in the DENSiM. The survival and emergence values determine the size of the population while the rate of gonotrophic development and female weight estimates influence biting frequency. Temperature and titer of virus in the human influences the extrinsic incubation period; titer may also influence the probability of transfer of virus from human to mosquito. The infection model within the DENSiM accounts for the development of virus within individuals and its passage between both populations. As in the case of the CIMSiM, the specific values used for any particular phenomenon are on menus where they can be readily changed. It is possible to simulate concurrent epidemics involving different serotypes. To provide a modicum of validation and to demonstrate the parameterization process for a specific location, we compare simulation results with reports on the nature of epidemics and seroprevalence of antibody in Honduras in low-lying coastal urbanizations and Tegucigalpa following the initial introduction of dengue-1 in 1978 into Central America. We conclude with some additional examples of simulation results to give an indication of the types of questions that can be investigated with the models.


Assuntos
Simulação por Computador , Dengue/epidemiologia , Modelos Biológicos , Saúde da População Urbana , Adolescente , Adulto , Aedes/fisiologia , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Animais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Clima , Dengue/transmissão , Surtos de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Honduras/epidemiologia , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Insetos Vetores/fisiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Processos Estocásticos , Viremia/epidemiologia
13.
J Med Entomol ; 31(2): 278-86, 1994 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8189418

RESUMO

Aedes albopictus (Skuse) lays eggs refractory to hatching in response to several environmental cues. The goal of this statistical treatment was to quantify the role and interaction of latitude and country of origin (Japan and the United States), photoperiod, rearing/holding temperature, and a newly identified element, elevation of the site of origin, with critical photoperiod (Cpp). We also describe the development of an equation relating the incidence of diapause to daylength, rearing/holding temperature, and latitude and elevation of the site of origin, an equation useful in the development of a simulation model of the population dynamics and distribution of Ae. albopictus in North America. The analysis indicated that elevation from 0 to 300 m is significantly correlated with Cpp. The results also corroborate earlier conclusions that, on the basis of a shallower geographical cline in photoperiodic response in the United States, North American strains of Ae. albopictus have a temperate origin in Asia and indicate that the rapid spread of this mosquito within the United States via the distribution of used tires resulted in founder populations that were only partially adapted in diapause response to local conditions.


Assuntos
Aedes/fisiologia , Clima , Óvulo/fisiologia , Animais , Escuridão , Feminino , Geografia , Japão , Luz , Reprodução , Temperatura , Estados Unidos
14.
J Med Entomol ; 30(6): 1003-17, 1993 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8271242

RESUMO

The container-inhabiting mosquito simulation model (CIMSiM) is a weather-driven, dynamic life table simulation model of Aedes aegypti (L.). It is designed to provide a framework for related models of similar mosquitoes which inhibit artificial and natural containers. CIMSiM is an attempt to provide a mechanistic, comprehensive, and dynamic accounting of the multitude of relationships known to play a role in the life history of these mosquitoes. Development rates of eggs, larvae, pupae, and the gonotrophic cycle are based on temperature using an enzyme kinetics approach. Larval weight gain and food depletion are based on the differential equations of Gilpin & McClelland compensated for temperature. Survivals are a function of weather, habitat, and other factors. The heterogeneity of the larval habitat is depicted by modeling the immature cohorts within up to nine different containers, each of which represents an important type of mosquito-producing container in the field. The model provides estimates of the age-specific density of each life stage within a representative 1-ha area. CIMSiM is interactive and runs on IBM-compatible personal computers. The user specifies a region of the world of interest; the model responds with lists of countries and associated cities where historical data on weather, larval habitat, and human densities are available. Each location is tied to an environmental file containing a description of the significant mosquito-producing containers in the area and their characteristics. In addition to weather and environmental information, CIMSiM uses biological files that include species-specific values for each of the parameters used in the model. Within CIMSiM, it is possible to create new environmental and biological files or modify existing ones to allow simulations to be tailored to particular locations or to parameter sensitivity studies. The model also may be used to evaluate any number and combination of standard and novel control methods.


Assuntos
Aedes/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Modelos Biológicos , Animais , Simulação por Computador , Expectativa de Vida , Conceitos Meteorológicos , Dinâmica Populacional
15.
J Med Entomol ; 30(6): 1018-28, 1993 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8271243

RESUMO

The container-inhabiting mosquito simulation model (CIMSiM) is a weather-driven, dynamic life table simulation model of Aedes aegypti (L.) and similar nondiapausing Aedes mosquitoes that inhabit artificial and natural containers. This paper presents a validation of CIMSiM simulating Ae. aegypti using several independent series of data that were not used in model development. Validation data sets include laboratory work designed to elucidate the role of diet on fecundity and rates of larval development and survival. Comparisons are made with four field studies conducted in Bangkok, Thailand, on seasonal changes in population dynamics and with a field study in New Orleans, LA, on larval habitat. Finally, predicted ovipositional activity of Ae. aegypti in seven cities in the southeastern United States for the period 1981-1985 is compared with a data set developed by the U.S. Public Health Service. On the basis of these comparisons, we believe that, for stated design goals, CIMSiM adequately simulates the population dynamics of Ae. aegypti in response to specific information on weather and immature habitat. We anticipate that it will be useful in simulation studies concerning the development and optimization of control strategies and that, with further field validation, can provide entomological inputs for a dengue virus transmission model.


Assuntos
Aedes/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Modelos Biológicos , Animais , Estudos de Avaliação como Assunto , Larva/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Estudos Longitudinais , Louisiana , Óvulo/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Dinâmica Populacional , Pupa/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Tailândia , Tempo (Meteorologia)
16.
J Am Mosq Control Assoc ; 7(3): 476-80, 1991 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-1686448

RESUMO

Laboratory work has shown that mosquitoes obtaining blood meals from animals treated with ivermectin exhibit lowered adult survival, fecundity, egg hatch and larval survival. Computer simulation evaluated the consequences of this phenomenon in field populations of Psorophora columbiae feeding on cattle in the rice agroecosystem. Results suggest that rather minor reductions, on the order of 10% below normal, in these life history parameters would significantly affect the population dynamics of this species in this particular system. Significant reductions in the amount of insecticide used for mosquito abatement are also projected.


Assuntos
Culicidae , Ivermectina/farmacologia , Modelos Biológicos , Animais , Bovinos , Comportamento Alimentar , Feminino , Fertilidade/efeitos dos fármacos , Larva , Controle de Mosquitos , Oviposição/efeitos dos fármacos , Dinâmica Populacional , Análise de Sobrevida
17.
J Med Entomol ; 28(4): 501-5, 1991 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-1941909

RESUMO

Aedes aegypti (L.) females were blood fed a single time on rabbits previously injected subcutaneously with ivermectin at 10 or 50 times the labeled dose recommended for cattle (0.2 mg [AI]/kg body weight). Although adult mosquito survival was unchanged by the low dose, fecundity and hatch were depressed slightly. Females fed on rabbits at the high dose exhibited reduced survival and egg production compared with females fed on control rabbits. Eggs from these females also were less likely to hatch, and subsequent larval survival was lower than controls. The effect of ivermectin on these reproductive parameters diminished as the time between drug administration and blood meal increased.


Assuntos
Aedes , Ivermectina , Animais , Feminino , Fertilidade/efeitos dos fármacos , Coelhos , Reprodução/efeitos dos fármacos
18.
J Am Mosq Control Assoc ; 7(1): 1-6, 1991 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-1675250

RESUMO

The results of a field test conducted in cooperation with the Jefferson Davis Parish Mosquito Abatement District (JDPMAD) during 1988 in southwestern Louisiana suggested that the biweekly treatment of cattle with permethrin reduced the number of adult Psorophora columbiae in nearby areas. Routine mosquito control operations by JDPMAD were similar from 1987 to 1988 in the cattle-treated area but increased an average of 41% in control areas. In spite of this, during the year of cattle treatment, captures in New Jersey light traps averaged 86 and 26% of the previous 4-year average in control and treated areas, respectively. Similarly, the proportion of trap nights in 1988 when Ps. columbiae captures exceeded 500 averaged 73 and 30% of the previous 4-year average in control and treated areas, respectively. Simulation model projections that took into account differences in JDPMAD operations, weather, cattle density, agricultural practices and the presence of treated cattle were accurate within an average of 9% of observed values for the treated and control areas. The simulation studies indicated that the treatment of cattle with permethrin reduced Ps. columbiae populations by 83%. These results suggest that host management may be a viable method for suppressing populations of Ps. columbiae and that some form of host management be considered for inclusion in integrated control programs in this environment. Further evaluation of this concept is warranted.


Assuntos
Bovinos/parasitologia , Inseticidas , Controle de Mosquitos/métodos , Piretrinas , Animais , Simulação por Computador , Culicidae , Feminino , Interações Hospedeiro-Parasita , Modelos Teóricos , Permetrina , Densidade Demográfica
19.
J Am Mosq Control Assoc ; 6(3): 514-22, 1990 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-2230783

RESUMO

Baseline field studies were conducted from April 1987 to July 1988 on Aedes aegypti in Santo Domingo, an endemic area for dengue fever. Premise, container and Breteau indices were measured in one treated area and 2 nearby control areas. These indices averaged 69.6, 46.3 and 142.1, respectively. The principal larval habitats of Ae. aegypti were 208-liter (55-gal) concrete-lined drums. The estimated daily adult production was approximately 60 per house. Adult mosquito populations were monitored using oviposition traps and by sweep net collections. There was no correlation between adult abundance and the larval indices. Monitoring the natural adult densities was more efficient for evaluating the impact of ULV malathion application than the use of standard bioassay procedures.


Assuntos
Aedes , Animais , Culex , República Dominicana , Ecologia , Entomologia/métodos , Feminino , Larva , Masculino , Densidade Demográfica , Pupa
20.
J Am Mosq Control Assoc ; 6(2): 283-6, 1990 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-1973448

RESUMO

Cattle are the primary host for the major pest mosquito Psorophora columbiae in the rice production region of the Gulf-south. Annual captures of Ps. columbiae, Anopheles crucians and An. quadrimaculatus in New Jersey light traps in Acadia Parish in 1984 were correlated with cattle density within 0.8 km of the trap (R2 = 97, 68 and 74%, respectively). Furthermore, 7 of 10 mosquito species commonly trapped were significantly correlated with cattle density (average R2 = 82%). This work documents host abundance as a key factor in the population dynamics and distribution of most of the important riceland mosquitoes.


Assuntos
Anopheles , Bovinos/parasitologia , Culicidae , Ecologia , Entomologia/instrumentação , Animais , Interações Hospedeiro-Parasita , Louisiana , Densidade Demográfica , Dinâmica Populacional , Especificidade da Espécie
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